Saturday, October 30, 2010
Who let the dogs out?
Saturday, October 23, 2010
Fun Dog Tricks
If I'd have known a dog could be trained to do ALL this, I might not have had kids...
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Twitter, Facebook, Blogs: Isn't the Internet Great??
If you're reading this, you're already a reader of blogs and a fan of blogging. Keep it up. To make your blogging more productive, I suggest you look into using an RSS Reader, such as Google Reader. RSS stands for Real Simple Syndication, and basically, since blogs are structured formats, with each post being date/time stamped, it means they can be sorted into a hierarchical format and displayed in a reader. There are many RSS readers (one is included as part of Internet Explorer and in Outlook), but my favorite is Google's Reader. I prefer it because it works within the browser, and the settings follow you to any computer you use. All you need is a google account, which you already have if you're a gmail user, but it's easy to sign up and use all of google's products. You also have one if you're a Picasa user (for sharing pictures). Now, you may not agree with Google's founders politics (they're morons), but, their technology is great. With an RSS Reader, you don't have to go to 400 websites to troll for news, you'll find it all aggregated, right there. Try it.
The next thing you need to look into is Facebook. Like AOL of old, Facebook is the destination site on the Internet for connecting with your old and new friends. I use Facebook mostly for connecting with old friends and an occasional snarky post, but, mostly, I just try to see what people are up to. For interest, I started myself to keep tabs on my kids. A requirement of their use of it was that I had to be their friend, so I could see what they were up to. It's expanded somewhat. If you join Facebook, you'll be able to connect with me, but, you'll be surprised with all the groups that exist there, how quickly people you knew from your past will find you. I don't use Facebook that much for politics, but, it can be used for that as well.
Finally, there is Twitter. I love Twitter. The kids are not in to Twitter. That makes it more appealing to me. Basically, I described it to the youngest as "Facebook without the fluff, and you have to learn to speak in 140 words or less." With the increasing use of URL shorteners like bit.ly, though, Twitter is a way to quickly link people to articles of interest, and to stay even more connected to anyone. Because it's near instantaneous, you can sometimes engage in short conversations with people who you would normally not have anything to do with, like the Braves AJC beat writer, or CBS's White House correspondent. It's like having a real time feed of your RSS Reader. In fact, that's really what I do online - watch my Twitter feed and scroll through my RSS reader for interesting stuff. Most bloggers these days link their blogs to their Twitter feed, so, once they post something, if you're following them on Twitter, you'll see it, with a link. In fact, this post, once posted, will show up in my Twitter feed - the title, with a link.
So, I encourage you all to create twitter accounts and then follow some people you find interesting. Here are some recommendations:
- HumanEvents - Get a twitter feed of Human Events articles
- rsmccain -Robert Stacy McCain
- BigJournalism - Breitbart's Big Journalism site
- DanRiehl - conservative blogger
- RichLowry
- ByronYork
- AoSHQ -Ace Of Spades
- politico
- krauthammer
- ajcbraves - Dave O'Brien, Braves beat reporter
- ESPN_ACC - Heather Dinich - covers the ACC for ESPN
- RedState - a feed of Red State's home page posts
- NROcorner - A feed of NR's Corner posts
- greggutfeld - Come on, you don't know who Greg Gutfeld is? You should.
- ThadMcCotter - Michigan congressman, and rock music lover
- Buster_ESPN -Buster Olney, ESPN baseball reporter
- SarahPalinUSA
- newsbusters - twitter feed of newsbusters blog posts
- LegInsurrection - twitter feed of LI's blog
- sistertoldjah - she's an NC based conservative blogger. Prolific
- jaketapper - ABC's WH correspondent
- gatewaypundit - Jim Hoft's twitter account
- KarlRove
Monday, October 18, 2010
Braves Outfield Options
MLBTraderumors.com has the skinny on 2011 free agents and I posted on the 2011 class here. Looking at other trade possibilities, let's look at the 2012 class, and see who might be trade bait. The top 2012 outfielders are going to be (and here we'll look at all OF positions):
- Jose Bautista - After hitting 54 homers and 124 RBI's in an amazing 2010 (he never hit more than 16 in 7 previous seasons), Bautista's stock has skyrocketed. He's arbitration eligible and whether the Blue Jays are in a trading mood, probably depends on what he gets in this arbitration year. He's a righty who could regress back to a middling power guy.
- Josh Willingham - made $4.6M this year, and is arb eligible. Hit 16 homers in only 370 AB's for Washington. He has a great eye, with an OBP of .383 in 2010, career .367. Again, Washington may be building around Willingham and some of their other good young players and be unwillinging to move him. But, I could see a Lowe or Jurrjens for Willingham trade being done. Nationals get (in the case of Lowe) a seasoned vet for their young staff, and Braves get a needed RH power bat at a decent price. The Nats have indicated a willingness to go after Cliff Lee, but they can't afford Lee. Would they settle for Lowe?
- David DeJesus - Is a relatively weak powered left fielder. He can play center, but, he's essentially McLouth, slightly better defensively. Will make $6M in 2011. I don't think he's a good fit, certainly not as the LF beside McLouth.
- Cody Ross - Now, we've seen what Ross can do in the playoffs, and he is a guy the Braves tried hard to get this year and lost out to the Giants. He's arbitration eligible in 2011 and made $4.5M in 2010. Don't know what the Giants may do with Ross. They don't need pitching, and if the Braves had any good hitters to trade, they'd be keeping them anyway. I don't think we're likely to see the Braves and Giants making any trades.
- Michael Cuddyer - Twins former first round pick is having arthroscopic surgery in the off-season. His numbers have been all over the place in the bigs, mostly good. He's signed through 2011 and will make $10M next year. He's honestly not worth that kind of money unless he returns to 2009 form.
- Ryan Ludwick - struggled after the mid-season trade to SD. He's got good power but strikes out A LOT. Just an average outfielder.Made $5.5M in 2010, arbitration eligible in 2011. Again SD doesn't need pitching, so not a good candidate for trade with Atlanta.
Sunday, October 17, 2010
Braves Player Round Up - Nate McLouth
The first player I will analyze, because he creates such strong feelings among Braves fans, is Nate McLouth.
McLouth was aquired in a 2009 trade with the Pirates that saw pitching prospect Charlie Morton, Jeff Locke, and Gorkys Hernandez. Only Morton really had any major league potential, and has failed to live up to it. McLouth was coming off an All-Star season with the Pirates in 2008. Of course, if not for the requirement that each team have an All-Star, McLouth's credentials were debatable. His 2008 season numbers were good, however, .276/.356/.853 and he led the league with 46 doubles, and he had a WAR of 4.6. He seemed poised for stardom when he signed a large contract with Pittsburgh (3 years with a 4th year team option) after that 2008 season, so the 2009 trade appeared to observers to be a typical Pirate salary dump. He also battled some injury problems in 2009 which saw McLouth's numbers slip, and he had long periods with the Braves, as I started observing him, where he was awful. A streaky, pull-hitting, 100+ strikeout lead-off hitter often down in counts with a poor caught stealing percentage indicated some potential problems with McLouth in 2009.
McLouth is owed $6.5M by the Braves in 2011.
While 2009 could be called a normal year for Nate, you need only look at the details of his at-bats to see something happened in 2010 to lower his average by 60 points and make him functionally useless.
What happened was:
- Nate struck out looking in 44% of his strikeouts. This is up significantly from his career average of 34%. If you watched Nate this season, you can recall many times screaming at the TV, "How could you take that pitch!?!?!?!?!?"
- Surprisingly, Nate saw more 2-0 and 3-1 counts than he historically saw, and well above the league average (could this be a product of the Braves philosophy of working pitchers deeper into the count?). As you would expect, Nate was at his best on these counts, hitting .500 on 2-0 pitches, and .333 on 3-0. Nate's real problem is if you could get 2 strikes on him in 2010, he was nearly a dead-lock cinch to make an out, hitting .152 with 2 strikes. Nate's other issue - first pitches. In 28 at bats where he put the ball into play on the first pitch, he hit .071. Seriously, Nate, you're better off taking the first pitch in 2010, but, this was one of the things Nate came to Atlanta notorious for - swinging at first pitches, and 2010 was an aberration. He's a career .299 first pitch hitter.
- McLouth didn't get many AB's against lefties this year, but he was woeful against them, hitting .135. Nate was similarly awful in road games, hitting just .134
- As a baserunner, McLouth's caught stealing percentage declined from about 90% in Pittsburgh to roughly 78% in Atlanta. Not good.
- Nate was a Gold Glove outfielder in 2008 with Pittsburgh. Did he deserve it? In a word, no. While he only made one error, he only had 5 assists, and his sabermetric ratings are those of a below-average outfielder.
- That is much more consistent with the Nate McLouth I observed in Atlanta. I'd call him an indifferent fielder, frequently fielding fly balls with runners on 3rd and less than 2 outs and not even attempting a throw. I know Braves broadcaster Joe Simpson called him on this on more than one occasion. In fact, I vividly remember a game where with a runner on 3rd, McLouth called off Jason Heyward who was setting up to make a throw home, and McLouth didn't even make the throw. He lost balls in lights on more than one occasion, and generally played a rotten CF.
CFB Wrap-up: 10/16
Let's get the home teams first. Georgia Tech manhandled an inferior Middle Tennessee State team 42-14, Georgia whipped a woeful Vandy 49-0, and UNC took out 30 years of frustration at UVA and one year of frustration with agents beating the Wahoo's 44-10.
So, that handles the locals. The big news is this was a great day for TCU and Boise State. Ohio State proved why they're a perennial disappointment, losing to Wisconsin, and Texas told Nebraska to go F themselves as they leave the Big 12 for the Big Nothing sending 2 potential national title contenders to the garbage dump.
So, who can spoil the non-BCS schools' party?
- Auburn beat Arkansas in a defense optional game, 65-43 to stay undefeated, and putting them on a collision course with...
- LSU, who handled McNeese State to remain unbeaten, despite Les Miles' best efforts.
- Michigan State dispatched Illinois, but, I don't expect to see them in the BCS contenders.
- Oklahoma killed Iowa State.
- Utah and Nevada won, but they have to face TCU and Boise St, so, don't expect them to make it undefeated.
- Oregon was idle, and the number 2 team still has some tough Pac-10 games to play.
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
#Braves 2011 and Interesting Free Agent Outfielders for the Bravos
Anyway, now that the season is over, let's take a look at the Braves for 2011 and what Fredi will have to work with and some payroll numbers:
Pitching Staff (Starters):
- Derek Lowe - 2 years remaining at $15M per year. If the Derek Lowe we saw in September and October is the new Derek Lowe, I doubt the Braves will attempt to move him like they tried last year.
- Tim Hudson - 3 years left at $9M per year. Well worth it and will be remaining until 2013, when he's 37.
- Kenshin Kawakami - has 1 year left at $6.7M. The Braves will try hard to trade Kawakami in the off-season. He's 35, has been awful and is going to be tough to move. I think he'll get traded, but the Braves will have to eat most of his salary.
- Jair Jurrjens is arbitration eligible. He has 2 good years, but this year was a disaster due to injuries. I don't know how that affects his value or what it will be. He's arbitration eligible. I expect the Braves to be looking at $3-5M for 2011 for Jair and that they'll sign him.
- Tommy Hanson is not arbitration eligible and will make around $400k next year.
- Mike Minor and Brandon Beachy are rookies and will also make the league minimum. One of them will be the 5th starter. The other will start the season in AAA Gwinnett or the bullpen.
- Kris Medlen - would be the 5th starter, if he wasn't going to spend the entire season rehabbing from TJ surgery. League minimum, probably covered by insurance.
- Peter Moylan - Moylan got $1.15M coming off Tommy John surgery. I expect he will get about $2M in arbitration and the Braves will keep him.
- Eric O'Flaherty is arbitration eligible. After an up-and-down season that saw him battle non-baseball related physical health problems, hard to say what O'Flaherty's worth is. If the Braves can re-sign him for less than $1M, I expect they would. A reliable lefty is hard to find.
- Johnny Venters - everyday Johnny will get some rookie of the year votes, and deservedly so. Venters came up through the system as a starter. It will be interesting to see if Gonzalez and McDowell (hope he stays) keepVenters in the pen or let him compete for a 5th starter spot. If the decision is made to move Lowe or Jurrjens, this could happen.
- Craig Kimbrel - the rookie is going to be given the closer job. League minimum.
- Michael Dunn - another left-handed rookie, Dunn will get a chance to re-earn a bullpen slot. However, with Venters, O'Flaherty, and Dunn, another left-handed reliever may become trade bait. My guess is Dunn's the odd man out.
- Christhian Martinez - not real sure his contract status, or if he's technically a rookie. He could make the bullpen, if he's not traded.
- I think we can count on these guys not coming back, due to age/salary/ineffectiveness:
- Takashi Saito - he's 40, made $3.2M in 2010, was injured alot and is subject to arbitration. I doubt the Braves will offer him arbitration and let him become a free agent.
- Billy Wagner - duh! He means it, he's going to retire.
- Farnsworth - with a $5.25M team option, he is not coming back. Farnsworth will be lucky to get back to KC at $2M.
- Chipper Jones will return.Chipper is going to make $13M next year. He's worth it still.
- Martin Prado is arbitration eligible. The Braves will offer it and he'll get about $6M (compare him to Placido Palanco).
- Brian McCann is signed through 2013. He's going to make $6.5M next year.
- Omar Infante - the team has a $2.5M team option on him. They'll exercise it.
- Alex Gonzalez - another guy for whom the team holds a $2.5M option. They'll exercise it, too.
- David Ross - the Braves signed Ross to a 2 year extension at $1.6M per year. May be the best back-up catcher in baseball.
- Jason Heyward - the rookie RF will make the league minimum. He'll be arbitration eligible about when Chipper retires.
- Freddie Freeman - the rookie 1B should make the club. League minimum for him. If he falters in the spring, we'll see who's available on the cheap then...
- Nate McLouth - looking at McLouth's contract, you learn why the Braves wanted him to get his stroke back and play. He's signed through 2011 at $6.5M next year. He has no trade value, so, he needs to work this winter and get his swing back.
- Matt Diaz - suffered through a rough year with an injury to his hand and never really got rolling. He's arbitration eligible and made $2.55M this year. My guess is Diaz wants to stay here, and would take around the same to stay. Is an OF of Heyward, McLouth, Infante what the Braves really want, with Diaz as the 4th OF?
- Brooks Conrad - the 30 year old rookie makes the league minimum. The Braves will keep him as a pinch hitter, occasional IF replacement.
- Rick Ankiel - if not for Ankiel's $6M mutual option for 2011, I'd expect him to stick around. I don't know where Ankiel can go. The Braves will not exercise their option, so, he'll become a free agent. I just don't see a market for Ankiel. He'll get invited to someone's camp in the spring, probably not the Braves, though.
- Troy Glaus improved his value to someone this year. He's a free agent, and someone will likely sign him. Not the Braves, though. Hard to believe that Troy is only 33. Maybe an AL club looking for a DH. Wish him well, because he carried this team in the spring.
- Derrek Lee - Free agent first baseman will need to find a job somewhere else.
- Melky Cabrera - Arbitration eligible, but, I doubt he fits into the Braves plans in the OF. He made $3.1M this year. Depends on how Fredi feels about the choice between him and Diaz.
- Erik Hinske - a free agent who made $1M this year. Never saw Hinske at 1B. Would he take another $1M contract to be a PH and potential back-up in case Freeman falters at 1B?
Monday, October 11, 2010
Braves Loss - It Hurts, but Cox screwed this up
Split | G | GS | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | SB | CS | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | TB | GDP | HBP | SH | SF | IBB | ROE | BAbip | tOPS+ | sOPS+ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
vs RHP | 145 | 480 | 407 | 117 | 28 | 2 | 19 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 66 | 60 | .287 | .388 | .506 | .894 | 206 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .295 | 101 | 138 | ||
vs LHP | 90 | 188 | 162 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 31 | .296 | .378 | .506 | .884 | 82 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | .323 | 98 | 158 |
Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | CS | BB | SO | SO/BB | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | TB | GDP | HBP | SH | SF | IBB | ROE | BAbip | tOPS+ | sOPS+ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
vs RHB | 21 | 44 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 0.82 | .212 | .409 | .333 | .742 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .261 | 125 | 104 |
vs LHB | 24 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 3.00 | .211 | .318 | .263 | .581 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 76 | 73 |
Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | CS | BB | SO | SO/BB | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | TB | GDP | HBP | SH | SF | IBB | ROE | BAbip | tOPS+ | sOPS+ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
vs RHB | 21 | 47 | 38 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 2.44 | .079 | .255 | .105 | .361 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .188 | 58 | 8 |
vs LHB | 20 | 41 | 34 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 2.57 | .176 | .317 | .206 | .523 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .375 | 146 | 44 |
I think the numbers make the argument here - Kimbrel against lefties is essentially Mike Dunn with a better chance of a strikeout.
Stupid moves of Sunday's game:
1. The 2-2 pitch to Sanchez (McCann, Kimbrel?)
2. Taking out Kimbrel (Cox)
3. Having Conrad in the game at all in the 9th (Cox - and I am cutting him some slack for having him in the game in the 1st)
To give you something else to think about for the rest of the week, when the Braves are eliminated, how many days until Freddi Gonzalez is announced as the new manager?
Finally, we all love VJohnny enters this year, but, he's a starter, and that's how he came up. I expect the team to give him a chance to win a rotation spot next year, with Kimbrel getting Wagner's job. With Medlen out for the year, that will give the Braves choices of JJ, Lowe, Hudson, Hanson, Minor and Venters. Someone's getting traded (Lowe, JJ?). I think Lowe improved his value in September and October and the Braves may try to move him again to get a bat and dump salary. Kawakami is toast. Welcome to Kansas City or Seattle, Kenshin.
Saturday, October 9, 2010
Braves Magic
However, if you did not stay up for last night's 5-4 Braves victory over San Francisco, you missed one for the ages and a game that sort of sums up the Braves' season.
Down early 4-0 with one of SF's aces, Matt Cain delivering shut-out pitching against the Braves anemic batting order and with Bobby Cox ejected after the same umpire who blew last night's call on Buster Posey blew another one, the Braves battled out a run in the 6th to make it 4-1, then took advantage of some shoddy SF fielding and timely hitting by Alex Gonzales (who was 4 for 43 coming into the game) to tie the game against SF's closer (Brian Wilson, who had 48 saves) and force extra innings.
That would be drama enough, except, in the bottom of the 10th inning, the Braves were forced to play the gimpy Troy Glaus (who carried this team in May/June, but had been battling nagging injuries since, and compelled the Braves to trade for Derrek Lee at the deadline) at third base (for just the second time this season) as Billy Wagner was brought in, in all likelihood to pitch two innings (hopefully).
Former Brave Edgar Renteria led off, and knowing Glaus's health issues, bunted at him and reached first base. On the play, Wagner likely hurt an oblique, and fortunately, the next batter sacrificed Renteria to second, with Wagner getting the out, visibly in pain.
If you were, like me, going UGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH at the site of Wagner flinching in pain, you thought, ":This is it. Season's over."
Kyle Farnsworth, who did not distinguish himself in his last time through Atlanta, was brought in to replace Wagner, and promptly hit a batter and then walked a batter to load the bases with 1 out.
If you watched the game, you know what happened next. If not, a ground ball was hit to Glaus (again), who, instead of going home to get the out there, started a double play, and the Braves were out of the inning! At that point, you had some inkling that something special was going on here.
In the top of the 11th, Rick Ankiel, the former Cardinal's pitcher, and reconstituted center fielder, hitting just .220 for Atlanta since coming over from KC in July, hit a monster homer into McCovey Cove to make it 5-4 in the 11th.
Farnsworth worked an uneventful bottom of the 11th, and the Braves return to Atlanta having split the first 2 in SF 1-1. In 5 game series since the format began, teams that split 1-1 are 25-10. So, the odds favor the Braves, but, Wagner is out for the series and the season, and we may seen him throw his last pitch.
It's too bad he's not planning on coming back next season, but Craig Kimbrel and Johnny Venters have been awesome.For now, Wagner is out this series and the next (if the Braves make it). The guess is Takashi Saito will take his place.